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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396d |  prescient | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,596 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 396d | prescient | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,790 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 396d | prescient | 112,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,970 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 396d |  Miffffy | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 396d | petya | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,694 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 396d | prayer2008 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,852 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 396d | petya | 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 2 |
| 396d |  VinnyViral2 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,604 | +$416 +4.8% | 2 |
| 396d | icysfernando | 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 396d | Superior-Turning | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,501 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 396d | Superior-Turning | 116,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$600 +14% | 3 |
| 396d |  brockthebaby4 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $8,229 | +$4,596 +56% | 3 |
| 396d | nonkenny903 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,061 | +$123 +2.0% | 2 |
| 396d | easypredict | 118,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,538 | +$52 +2.0% | 2 |
| 396d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,943 | −$2,943 −100% | 6 |
| 396d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $5,116 | +$3,421 +67% | 3 |
| 396d | linzifan0753 | 114,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
| 396d | prescient | 114,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$48 +3.1% | 2 |
| 396d | prescient | 112,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 396d | kkkkei | 118,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,792 | +$58 +2.1% | 2 |
| 396d | brockthebaby2 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,787 | +$673 +14% | 2 |
| 397d | hotero001 | 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$20 +1.5% | 2 |
| 397d |  stackinbit | 114,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$299 +15% | 3 |
| 397d | stackinbit | 118,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$804 +20% | 3 |
| 398d | sergay | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,436 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 398d | ahmedxa | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,496 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 398d | petya | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,546 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 398d | brockthebaby | 116,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 4 |
| 398d | easyclap2 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,620 | +$1,400 +39% | 2 |
| 398d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | −$1,109 −100% | 4 |
| 400d | brockthebaby4 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$1,200 +25% | 2 |
| 400d | brockthebaby | 118,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | −$1,307 −100% | 3 |
| 400d | brockthebaby | 120,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 2 |
| 401d | easyclap | 114,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,690 | −$1,690 −100% | 3 |
| 401d | brockthebaby2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | +$1,355 +33% | 2 |
| 402d | brockthebaby | 108,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$285 +23% | 2 |
| 402d | kingofcoinflips | 110,000 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$480 +47% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.