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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | upont | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | Nothfail | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d |  ZeinST | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,402 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | upont2 fills | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,976 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 38d |  olegs | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,329 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d |  Facaie | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,449 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | ZeinST | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | upont2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,696 | +$27 +0.7% | 2 |
| 38d | averagerandomman11 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,212 | +$104 +0.9% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | +$62 +2.0% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 78,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | −$350 −7.4% | — |
| 38d | Velova | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,019 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $10,482 | +$1,818 +17% | 3 |
| 38d |  Tttyh3 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,826 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | Tttyh | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,694 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x2348…ec52 | 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | −$28 −0.9% | — |
| 38d | gobblewobble2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,245 | +$280 +12% | 3 |
| 38d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$36 +1.2% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $8,065 | +$1,627 +20% | 3 |
| 38d |  Sanyasanya | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$30 +2.2% | 2 |
| 38d |  spica258 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,690 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x2348…ec52 | 82,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | −$26 −0.7% | — |
| 38d | Mizukaze3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,604 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,314 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,168 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 38d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 38d | PmDerek | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | Candela | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,302 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | YautjaPM2 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | Glennraven | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,403 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 38d | IH2P | 80,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$170 +11% | 3 |
| 38d | Tttyh2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,749 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | ndjkasn | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,426 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 38d | olegs2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,608 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | Dou1232 fills | 78,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | −$209 −9.9% | — |
| 38d | Dou123 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$30 +2.7% | 2 |
| 38d | elrah | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$86 +1.7% | 2 |
| 38d | spica258 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,690 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | 0xe617…f251 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$72 +3.6% | 2 |
| 38d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,522 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,508 | +$97 +1.0% | 2 |
| 38d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,523 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 38d |  coinman27 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $9,693 | +$3,137 +32% | 3 |
| 38d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing4 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,646 | +$49 +0.6% | 2 |
| 38d | konsomida | 78,000 | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,127 | −$1,127 −100% | 5 |
| 38d | ZeinST | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,539 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | Tttyh2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,839 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | Tttyh3 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,307 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,798 | +$97 +1.7% | 2 |
| 38d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 |
| 38d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 38d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$55 −4.1% | — |
| 38d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$1,173 +54% | 4 |
| 38d | averagerandomman2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | +$20 +0.9% | 2 |
| 38d | Dou123 | 82,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$50 −4.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.