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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$104K | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$102K | 100% | +24 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$106K | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$100K | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$98K | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519d | >$102K | SellYes>99¢ | $2,306 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 519d | >$100K | SellYes>99¢ | $2,461 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 519d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd42 fills | >$104K | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,752 | +$77 +2.0% | 2 |
| 519d | justTrying-460 | >$104K | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 519d | Sharky6999 | >$104K | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 2 |
| 519d | dfgfbv | >$104K | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$660 +49% | 2 |
| 519d | MasterSplinter052 fills | >$104K | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $3,297 | +$3,297 +100% | — |
| 519d | >$104K | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $24,891 | +$33,552 +135% | 7 | |
| 519d | >$104K | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $27,479 | −$27,479 −100% | 2 | |
| 519d | Mr.Fujin2 fills | >$104K | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $3,650 | +$3,650 +100% | — |
| 519d | Mr.Fujin | >$104K | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $2,340 | −$2,340 −100% | 2 |
| 519d | 911TurboS | >$106K | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,326 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 519d | 911TurboS | >$102K | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,308 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 519d | justTrying-4604 fills | >$104K | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $10,179 | +$10,179 +100% | — |
| 519d | MasterSplinter05 | >$104K | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,325 | −$2,325 −100% | 2 |
| 519d | LuketheNuke | >$106K | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 519d | dfgfbv | >$104K | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$495 −49% | — |
| 519d | MasterSplinter052 fills | >$104K | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $4,285 | −$3,061 −71% | — |
| 519d | justTrying-4602 fills | >$104K | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | −$2,440 −75% | — |
| 519d | >$104K | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,827 | +$2,915 +76% | 2 | |
| 519d | >$100K | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,136 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 519d | MasterSplinter052 fills | >$104K | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,595 | +$2,792 +108% | 2 |
| 519d | dfgfbv11 fills | >$104K | SellNo72¢ → 0¢ | $11,804 | +$11,804 +100% | — |
| 519d | >$102K | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,249 | +$104 +2.4% | 2 | |
| 519d | alex562 | >$102K | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$20 +1.4% | 2 |
| 519d | dfgfbv14 fills | >$104K | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $15,052 | −$15,052 −100% | 4 |
| 519d | DOWNbet | >$100K | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,232 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 519d | >$104K | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,106 | −$1,106 −100% | 2 | |
| 519d | justTrying-4602 fills | >$104K | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,805 | −$2,805 −100% | 2 |
| 519d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd42 fills | >$106K | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,367 | −$269 −6.2% | — |
| 519d | spark1 | >$106K | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$17 +1.3% | 2 |
| 519d | AZwater2 fills | >$102K | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | +$57 +2.0% | 2 |
| 519d | dfgfbv3 fills | >$102K | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,872 | +$186 +4.8% | 2 |
| 519d | Hashbrown | >$102K | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$87 +5.3% | 2 |
| 519d | Hashbrown | >$98K | BuyYes100¢ | $1,051 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 519d | Hashbrown2 fills | >$100K | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,930 | +$41 +0.5% | 2 |
| 519d | justTrying-460 | >$102K | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,678 | +$141 +5.3% | 2 |
| 519d | Whaaahhh | >$104K | SellNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,127 | +$2,127 +100% | — |
| 519d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd43 fills | >$106K | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,735 | +$550 +15% | 3 |
| 519d | Bobaryn | >$100K | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 519d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | >$102K | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$125 +11% | 3 |
| 519d | affs20791 | >$106K | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,641 | +$75 +2.1% | 2 |
| 519d | Waterfall412 | >$104K | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$1,770 +144% | 5 |
| 519d | greatwolf | >$102K | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$64 +6.4% | 3 |
| 520d | tsekinming01 | >$98K | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,290 | +$97 +2.3% | 2 |
| 520d | spark1 | >$98K | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$83 +3.0% | 2 |
| 520d | lowrisk24 | >$106K | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$88 +8.7% | 2 |
| 521d | >$106K | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,162 | −$1,162 −100% | 4 | |
| 521d | >$100K | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | −$593 −16% | — | |
| 521d | >$100K | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,865 | +$483 +12% | 2 | |
| 522d | lyle0516 | >$100K | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$542 +14% | 3 |
| 523d | GabeOwners | >$100K | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$450 +18% | 2 |
| 524d | lyle0516 | >$98K | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$484 +12% | 2 |
| 524d | Torito | >$102K | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$669 +49% | 3 |
| 525d | >$104K | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $3,338 | −$3,338 −100% | 3 | |
| 525d | >$104K | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$1,314 +102% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 16 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 106,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$104K means the market gives it about 100%.