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Polymarket wallet 0x3238761f20d804b6ae5776e94cdefd79ca313291 · on Polymarket since Aug 25, 2024 · also shown as Forthright-Challenge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,523 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $4,184 | +$313 +8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,000 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $3,620 | +$60 +1.7% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $1,937 | +$243 +14% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,186 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,121 | +$112 +11% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | Yes | 1,108 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $914 | −$28 −2.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 13d | Nothing | 955 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $912 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $845 | +$55 +7.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 8,080 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,777 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.