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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360d | laodiciwei | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,758 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 361d | PNL20026 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | −$52 −3.4% | — |
| 361d |  win-ok | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 361d | Delightful-PeltNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,799 | −$87 −3.1% | — |
| 361d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,804 | +$196 +5.2% | 2 |
| 361d |  jooshi | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $3,319 | −$266 −8.0% | — |
| 361d | hibrucelee | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$52 +1.1% | 2 |
| 361d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown64¢ → 0¢ | $7,234 | −$7,234 −100% | 4 |
| 361d |  bitdictator | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$337 −32% | — |
| 361d | hibrucelee2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellDown33¢ → 0¢ | $3,131 | +$3,131 +100% | — |
| 361d |  moomoomoo4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellDown59¢ → 0¢ | $8,365 | +$8,365 +100% | — |
| 361d | Trendseeker123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$760 −61% | — |
| 361d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $5,436 | −$5,436 −100% | 5 |
| 361d | exceeding5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $6,926 | −$6,926 −100% | 3 |
| 361d | hibrucelee | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $11,689 | −$11,689 −100% | 2 |
| 361d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellDown99¢ → 0¢ | $1,132 | +$1,132 +100% | — |
| 361d | SDVARR | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown94¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 3 |
| 361d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SellDown96¢ → 0¢ | $3,189 | +$3,189 +100% | — |
| 361d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown96¢ → 0¢ | $3,541 | −$3,541 −100% | 2 |
| 361d | moomoomoo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown90¢ → 0¢ | $9,030 | −$9,030 −100% | 3 |
| 361d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$1,961 +74% | 4 |
| 361d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,646 | −$2,646 −100% | 4 |
| 362d | FTC2222 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$961 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 20 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 20 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
