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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <120k | 100% | +22 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120–121k | 0% | −8 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 121–122k | 0% | −7 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 122–123k | 0% | −4 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >123k | 0% | −4 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452d | lordedward | <120k | SellYes>99¢ | $4,688 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | thejokergotham | >123k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | Niseko2 fills | 120–121k | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,342 | −$318 −7.3% | — |
| 452d | Nktpt | <120k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 452d |  sorys | <120k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | Sheyi10 | <120k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 452d |  MBB3 | <120k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,527 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | rwo | <120k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,163 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 452d | rwo | 120–121k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 452d | zero0four4 | <120k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$28 −1.5% | — |
| 452d | rwo | 121–122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,398 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 452d |  worried | <120k | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | −$37 −2.8% | — |
| 452d | rwo | 122–123k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,421 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 452d | MBB3 | <120k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$29 +1.9% | 2 |
| 453d | rwo | >123k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,472 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 453d | lx124 | <120k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | −$123 −11% | — |
| 453d | Niseko | 120–121k | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,858 | +$142 +7.6% | 3 |
| 453d |  HaileyWelch4 fills | <120k | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $12,713 | +$3,486 +27% | 3 |
| 453d | AZwater | >123k | BuyNo100¢ | $1,353 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 453d |  tag | <120k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$39 +3.6% | 2 |
| 453d | FlowMo | <120k | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$117 +8.7% | 3 |
| 453d |  manwithahat6 fills | <120k | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $14,253 | +$4,470 +31% | 4 |
| 453d | manwithahat2 fills | 120–121k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,456 | +$868 +16% | 3 |
| 453d | lemmywalker | <120k | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$160 +16% | 3 |
| 453d | precision2 fills | 120–121k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,596 | +$405 +11% | 3 |
| 453d | HaileyWelch3 fills | <120k | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $5,575 | +$5,575 +100% | — |
| 453d | precision6 fills | <120k | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $19,530 | −$7,051 −36% | — |
| 453d | manwithahat | 121–122k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$190 +6.4% | 2 |
| 453d | LemonMint | <120k | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $15,273 | −$7,038 −46% | — |
| 453d | Niseko | 121–122k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$100 +6.6% | 2 |
| 453d |  VinnyViral2 fills | <120k | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $5,550 | +$1,950 +35% | 4 |
| 453d | HaileyWelch | 120–121k | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | +$468 +19% | 3 |
| 453d |  borabora-836 | >123k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$22 +2.1% | 2 |
| 453d | CKO92 | <120k | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$240 −19% | — |
| 453d | precision12 fills | <120k | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $35,373 | +$5,580 +16% | 3 |
| 453d | rdwyegb | <120k | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 2 |
| 453d |  dollarbilll | <120k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | −$254 −11% | — |
| 453d | Besiege | >123k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 453d | HaileyWelch | <120k | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | −$1,160 −100% | 5 |
| 454d | affs20791 | >123k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 2 |
| 454d | LemonMint | <120k | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $17,717 | +$4,595 +26% | 3 |
| 454d | zero0four4 | <120k | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | +$347 +24% | 3 |
| 455d | Nktpt | <120k | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$400 +33% | 3 |
| 455d | nonkenny90 | >123k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$62 +4.2% | 2 |
| 455d | Besiege4 fills | >123k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,600 | +$400 +5.3% | 2 |
| 455d | dollarbilll | <120k | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,902 | +$634 +33% | 3 |
| 455d | HaileyWelch | 122–123k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$66 +5.3% | 2 |
| 455d | frogcap | >123k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$64 +6.4% | 2 |
| 455d | bigballer | <120k | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$385 +35% | 3 |
| 455d |  Harkell | >123k | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$175 +7.5% | 2 |
| 457d | brr69420 | >123k | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,577 | −$491 −19% | — |
| 457d | brr694203 fills | <120k | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,435 | +$2,111 +61% | 3 |
| 458d | brr694203 fills | <120k | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $5,981 | −$2,752 −46% | — |
| 458d | VinnyViral | >123k | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | +$749 +22% | 2 |
mickycdlago8 shares
Dimas88810,672 sharesThis market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <120k means the market gives it about 100%.