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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $24,615 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 431d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 431d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $22,235 | +$1,372 +6.2% | 2 | |
| 431d | affs207916 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $19,694 | +$954 +4.8% | 2 |
| 431d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$36 +2.0% | 2 |
| 431d | Andr3w | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $4,576 | +$98 +2.1% | 2 |
| 431d | printa4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $10,994 | +$1,920 +17% | 3 |
| 431d | awei1248 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | SellDown73¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$589 −36% | — |
| 431d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 5 |
| 431d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp16¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 | |
| 431d | Thin-Print4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $23,272 | +$1,198 +5.1% | 2 |
| 431d | 0xa95bfdb10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $39,423 | +$3,331 +8.4% | 3 |
| 431d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $10,045 | +$4,277 +43% | 4 | |
| 431d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$160 +4.2% | 2 | |
| 431d | printa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $7,752 | −$720 −9.3% | — |
| 431d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | +$63 +3.1% | 2 |
| 431d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$55 +5.3% | 2 |
| 431d | macarena | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $3,173 | +$474 +15% | 3 |
| 431d | hberry | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$814 +16% | 3 |
| 432d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 3 |
| 432d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 3 |
| 432d | mersoclan | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$1,071 +104% | 3 |
| 432d | bluviamleshik | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$1,043 +104% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 11 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 12 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 11 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 12 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.