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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,296 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 427d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,126 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 427d |  Bitcoin2Moon | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,299 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 427d | Bitcoin2Moon | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,299 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 427d | frankino | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,164 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 428d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 3 |
| 428d | printa7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellDown69¢ → 100¢ | $15,304 | −$6,827 −45% | — |
| 428d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $9,912 | +$1,886 +19% | 3 |
| 428d | printa12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $39,164 | +$6,057 +15% | 3 |
| 428d | Expensive-Obesity13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellDown56¢ → 100¢ | $30,051 | −$23,344 −78% | — |
| 428d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellUp22¢ → 0¢ | $2,910 | +$2,910 +100% | — |
| 428d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $1,312 | −$1,312 −100% | 6 |
| 428d | Expensive-Obesity18 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $37,165 | +$28,134 +76% | 6 |
| 428d |  coinman27 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp58¢ → 0¢ | $18,586 | −$18,586 −100% | 5 |
| 428d |  VinnyViral2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown63¢ → 100¢ | $6,478 | +$3,810 +59% | 5 |
| 428d | Expensive-Obesity10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellUp61¢ → 0¢ | $17,796 | +$17,796 +100% | — |
| 428d | Expensive-Obesity16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $27,855 | −$27,855 −100% | 6 |
| 428d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellUp30¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | +$1,060 +100% | — |
| 428d | bc1234 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellUp63¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | +$1,410 +100% | — |
| 428d | coinman26 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown34¢ → 100¢ | $9,827 | +$19,390 +197% | 11 |
| 428d | lordedward | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp82¢ → 0¢ | $1,640 | −$1,640 −100% | 4 |
| 428d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp85¢ → 0¢ | $2,975 | −$2,975 −100% | 3 |
| 428d | Thin-Print5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp84¢ → 0¢ | $18,799 | −$18,799 −100% | 3 |
| 428d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown24¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$3,144 +314% | 4 |
| 428d | nm832 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp74¢ → 0¢ | $2,042 | −$2,042 −100% | 4 |
| 428d | 1749177280 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp69¢ → 0¢ | $1,321 | −$1,321 −100% | 4 |
| 428d | bc1234 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 428d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $6,032 | −$6,032 −100% | 5 |
Martiini1,402 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 14 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 15 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 14 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 15 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.