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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427d | Gstrangechances | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown1¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 5 |
| 427d | pekingmen | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,229 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 427d | doubletwos | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,133 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 427d | Expensive-Obesity | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | −$80 −4.2% | — |
| 427d | printa11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $37,883 | +$8,739 +23% | 3 |
| 427d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $7,139 | +$2,861 +40% | 4 |
| 427d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$97 +5.3% | 2 |
| 427d | Expensive-Obesity | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 4 |
| 427d | lpv888 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellDown11¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | +$1,325 +100% | — |
| 427d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | −$465 −9.9% | — |
| 427d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$221 +7.5% | 3 |
| 427d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$153 −12% | — |
| 427d |  coinman27 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $19,885 | −$19,885 −100% | 10 |
| 427d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellDown15¢ → 0¢ | $1,419 | +$1,419 +100% | — |
| 427d | Brundle | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$867 +69% | 5 |
| 427d | 0xa95bfdb2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $4,172 | +$2,731 +65% | 5 |
| 427d | timeone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $7,489 | −$7,489 −100% | 9 |
| 427d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | −$837 −41% | — |
| 427d | printa6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $10,064 | −$10,064 −100% | 9 |
| 427d | printa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellDown30¢ → 0¢ | $2,701 | +$2,701 +100% | — |
| 427d | coinman28 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $22,435 | +$8,675 +39% | 4 |
| 427d | Noclo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$340 +30% | 4 |
| 427d | Noclo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | +$1,021 +100% | — |
| 427d | Sarcastic-Kennel | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellDown42¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | +$1,028 +100% | — |
| 427d | lpv888 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown35¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 427d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellDown57¢ → 0¢ | $4,819 | +$4,819 +100% | — |
| 427d | iamgone4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown36¢ → 0¢ | $11,668 | −$11,668 −100% | 10 |
| 427d | phoku22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$3,281 +69% | 4 |
| 427d | iamgone4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | SellUp51¢ → 100¢ | $12,299 | −$11,834 −96% | — |
| 427d | iamgone3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp41¢ → 100¢ | $8,126 | +$11,706 +144% | 8 |
| 428d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | −$1,325 −100% | 4 |
| 428d | RolyPoliOli | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,190 +92% | 3 |
| 428d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,385 +92% | 3 |
| 428d | Noclo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $2,328 | −$2,328 −100% | 3 |
Xujingzhi692 shares
misterxy653 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 15 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 16 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 15 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 16 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.