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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319d | varch01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $19,325 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | TooMunchWinning3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $18,236 | +$422 +2.3% | 2 |
| 319d | burnhill | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,957 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d | karenkarl | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,260 | +$24 +0.6% | 2 |
| 319d | NLFHFDLHGH | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$17 +1.3% | 2 |
| 319d | pbhgjdl | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$20 +1.3% | 2 |
| 319d | 651ghf | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 319d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced137 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $19,296 | +$3,075 +16% | 3 |
| 319d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $5,340 | +$660 +12% | 3 |
| 319d |  betjoyer | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$834 +73% | 4 |
| 320d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,831 | −$1,831 −100% | 4 |
| 320d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$1,887 +96% | 4 |
GuidoMonzino4,491 shares
Endgamepol2,161 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.