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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,973 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | crypto-boy1520 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,039 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | xiaohui18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,132 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  hd777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 291d |  x317 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 291d | crypto-boy1520 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$31 +3.1% | 2 |
| 291d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | −$184 −15% | — |
| 291d | Southin2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellDown31¢ → 0¢ | $3,107 | +$3,107 +100% | — |
| 291d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896612 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $5,184 | +$2,611 +50% | 4 |
| 291d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | −$629 −41% | — |
| 291d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$776 +35% | 5 |
| 291d | Southin3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $4,472 | −$4,472 −100% | 5 |
| 291d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | SellUp67¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$590 −49% | — |
| 291d | xiaohui18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$2,059 +138% | 5 |
| 291d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$1,924 +172% | 4 |
| 292d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,174 +117% | 4 |
| 292d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 4 |
| 292d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 3 |
0x77772,500 shares
Endgamepol950 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 29 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 30 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 29 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 30 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.