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Polymarket wallet 0x4e9c3639312ac898f962bd84e8196f1d3bc14bd2 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Uncommon-Crosscontamination
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,429 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,042 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,176 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Lighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,458 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 870 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BuyYes7¢ | $100 |
| 291d | Lighter FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BuyYes2¢ | $154 |
| 291d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30? | BuyDown1¢ | $10 |
| 300d | Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | BuyNo39¢ | $77 |
| 302d | Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | BuyNo33¢ | $200 |
| 311d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 311d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 311d | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference? | BuyNo5¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.