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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,189 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 251d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,396 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 251d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,415 | +$45 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 251d | 0x1461cC6e13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $23,042 | +$5,937 +26% | 3 |
| 251d | user7777777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$183 +14% | 3 |
| 252d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$36 +3.1% | 2 |
| 252d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp68¢ → 0¢ | $9,341 | −$9,341 −100% | 4 |
| 252d | exceeding11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown75¢ → 100¢ | $12,399 | −$4,101 −33% | — |
| 252d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $4,344 | +$414 +9.5% | 3 |
| 252d | 5f5a6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $9,913 | −$1,740 −18% | — |
| 252d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp26¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 5 |
| 252d | ohysyes | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp16¢ → 0¢ | $2,558 | +$2,558 +100% | — |
| 252d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,562 | +$1,562 +100% | — |
| 252d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp64¢ → 0¢ | $1,361 | −$1,361 −100% | 5 |
| 252d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp32¢ → 0¢ | $7,321 | +$7,321 +100% | — |
| 252d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown58¢ → 100¢ | $6,401 | −$4,699 −73% | — |
| 252d | 0xb7cb…83a52 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp26¢ → 0¢ | $2,615 | +$2,615 +100% | — |
| 252d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp22¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 |
| 252d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp16¢ → 0¢ | $1,399 | −$1,399 −100% | 6 |
| 252d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $4,202 | +$467 +11% | 3 |
| 252d | 0xb7cb…83a52 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown51¢ → 100¢ | $2,354 | −$2,289 −97% | — |
| 252d | ohysyes | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown33¢ → 100¢ | $4,314 | −$8,783 −204% | — |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown35¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$1,951 +186% | 4 | |
| 252d | Envious-Heyday | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $1,376 | −$1,376 −100% | 4 |
| 252d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown30¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$4,449 +234% | 6 |
| 253d | cveeaz | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,142 | −$2,142 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.