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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,265 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | randomrandomrandom | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $13,667 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Lumpkin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,736 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 289d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,025 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d |  kboss | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d | rqrtw | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 289d | Viragjoshi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$48 −4.2% | — |
| 289d | Glorp69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $7,093 | −$531 −7.5% | — |
| 289d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $11,852 | +$1,801 +15% | 3 |
| 289d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$326 +15% | 3 |
| 289d | randomrandomrandom2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $11,219 | +$1,574 +14% | 3 |
| 289d | Viragjoshi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$199 +20% | 3 |
| 289d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | −$523 −27% | — |
| 289d | Glorp69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$671 +41% | 4 |
| 289d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896612 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,568 | −$2,568 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$1,100 +79% | 4 |
| 290d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,556 +85% | 4 |
AllByMyseIf4,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 31 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 31 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.