Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $19,911 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  youzi-chigua | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | Vitaaalya | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,094 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | Thin-Print6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $18,338 | +$186 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | Yanncll | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d |  alihanyer | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | greatanon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | +$196 +6.7% | 2 |
| 286d | Zarchell | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,839 | +$83 +2.2% | 2 |
| 286d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | −$240 −8.7% | — |
| 286d | youzi-chigua | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$66 +6.4% | 3 |
| 286d | tt2018 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$64 +4.2% | 2 |
| 286d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$400 +11% | 3 |
| 286d |  Feifyan | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | −$180 −8.7% | — |
| 286d | Feifyan | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | +$228 +11% | 3 |
| 287d |  LazzyBear | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $3,160 | −$840 −27% | — |
| 287d | LazzyBear | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$400 +25% | 3 |
| 287d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $8,200 | +$1,800 +22% | 3 |
| 287d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $5,589 | +$1,527 +27% | 3 |
| 287d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$957 +48% | 4 |
| 287d | ffva23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$1,927 +100% | 4 |
| 287d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,147 | −$1,147 −100% | 4 |
| 287d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,549 | −$3,549 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | alihanyer | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,842 | −$1,842 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.