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Polymarket wallet 0x05c75dae794c573ef2a5dd0cc7667e66661085f4 · on Polymarket since Jan 1, 2026 · also shown as Defiant-Linguist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,659 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$695 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 413 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 209 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 278 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.