Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281d |  LeBause | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,178 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 281d |  0x1588 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,018 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 281d |  fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $24,174 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | cccccccccc3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | multistratpooh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,712 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | VGKAKAXI | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,504 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | loveheng | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,125 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,161 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 281d | lunlimk | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | +$61 +3.0% | 2 |
| 281d | Mpuch | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | −$103 −3.3% | — |
| 281d | VGKAKAXI | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$29 +2.0% | 2 |
| 281d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp21¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 5 |
| 281d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $11,004 | +$3,018 +27% | 3 |
| 281d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $4,228 | −$766 −18% | — |
| 282d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $4,556 | −$428 −9.4% | — |
| 282d | exceeding16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $26,496 | +$5,113 +19% | 3 |
| 282d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp17¢ → 0¢ | $3,242 | −$3,242 −100% | 11 |
| 282d | spritelemon-bnb | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$139 +6.9% | 3 |
| 282d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896612 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp23¢ → 0¢ | $2,436 | −$2,436 −100% | 9 |
| 282d | NiNo7132 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp14¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 15 |
| 282d | LTaker | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $4,239 | +$690 +16% | 3 |
| 282d | Mpuch2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $3,130 | +$552 +18% | 3 |
| 282d | TEFL0ND0N2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp24¢ → 0¢ | $3,156 | −$3,156 −100% | 10 |
| 282d | aiiiii3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $4,094 | +$3,839 +94% | 4 |
| 282d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | SellUp45¢ → 0¢ | $1,127 | +$1,127 +100% | — |
| 282d | ffva23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | easyclap8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $29,135 | +$29,787 +102% | 4 |
| 282d |  TruongMyLan4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | +$6,750 +100% | 4 |
| 282d | TSAR65 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $5,595 | −$5,595 −100% | 4 |
| 283d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | −$2,002 −100% | 3 |
Bezdelnik15,695 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.