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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 25¢ → 100¢ | $61 | +$45 +300% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 18 | 57¢ → 75¢ | $13 | +$3 +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,375 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BuyYes57¢ | $10 |
| 238d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SellYes13¢ | $16 |
| 239d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 239d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $15 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $5 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? | BuyUp<1¢ | $3 |
| 282d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SellYes14¢ | $13 |
| 282d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08? | BuyYes63¢ | $23 |
| 282d | Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SellNo8¢ | $6 |
| 283d | Spurs vs. Grizzlies | SellGrizzlies31¢ | $17 |
| 283d | Spurs vs. Grizzlies | BuyGrizzlies37¢ | $20 |
| 283d | Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BuyNo6¢ | $5 |
| 283d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes14¢ | $13 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.