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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | HUHHHHHhhhhh | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,674 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | Michael43962 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown66¢ → 100¢ | $3,791 | −$1,974 −52% | — |
| 459d | DOWNbet | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,189 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 459d | keborgan | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,541 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 459d |  UwO3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $11,913 | +$54 +0.5% | 2 |
| 459d | jdyljdyl | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,124 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 459d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 459d | HUHHHHHhhhhh | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown100¢ | $1,667 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 459d | precision4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $14,770 | +$845 +5.7% | 2 |
| 459d | precision4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $18,066 | −$1,157 −6.4% | — |
| 459d | FlowMo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $9,550 | +$533 +5.6% | 2 |
| 459d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $9,334 | +$331 +3.5% | 2 |
| 459d |  Upordown2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp12¢ → 0¢ | $3,881 | −$3,881 −100% | 13 |
| 459d |  Krasue9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown83¢ → 100¢ | $30,246 | −$6,201 −21% | — |
| 459d | rdwyegb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,083 | −$79 −2.6% | — |
| 459d |  NLTH20190904 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | −$60 −2.3% | — |
| 459d | Krasue11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $39,335 | +$8,536 +22% | 3 |
| 459d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$160 +4.2% | 2 |
| 459d | NLTH20190904 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$120 +4.7% | 2 |
| 459d | rdwyegb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 2 |
| 459d | keyfund | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp13¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 11 |
| 459d | Krasue6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp29¢ → 0¢ | $9,770 | −$9,770 −100% | 13 |
| 459d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp14¢ → 0¢ | $1,315 | +$1,315 +100% | — |
| 459d | Krasue3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp18¢ → 0¢ | $4,222 | +$4,222 +100% | — |
| 459d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$192 −19% | — |
| 459d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp23¢ → 0¢ | $2,717 | −$2,717 −100% | 9 |
| 459d | brr6942012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $26,336 | −$10,245 −39% | — |
| 459d | brr694208 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown67¢ → 100¢ | $15,153 | +$7,300 +48% | 4 |
| 459d | Respectful-Swan | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | −$420 −27% | — |
| 459d | Michael43962 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | +$2,066 +56% | 4 |
| 459d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown56¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | −$2,194 −79% | — |
| 459d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp46¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | +$1,499 +100% | — |
| 460d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,821 | −$1,821 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | sunnynotbunny | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | +$3,158 +99% | 3 |
| 460d | Respectful-Swan | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 3 |
| 460d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 3 |
| 460d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 3 |
Upordown60,261 shares
Astor3,866 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 14 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 15 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 14 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 15 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.