Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,787 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,158 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $33,196 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 458d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $5,065 | −$96 −1.9% | — |
| 458d | alexanches | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 458d | Thin-Print4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $12,268 | +$723 +5.9% | 2 |
| 458d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,646 | +$54 +2.0% | 2 |
| 458d |  Office Lover | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$77 +7.5% | 2 |
| 458d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$390 +15% | 3 |
| 458d | 0x00e68b2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown20¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 458d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$195 −15% | — |
| 458d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $4,596 | +$1,078 +23% | 3 |
| 458d | brr694207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellDown32¢ → 0¢ | $10,338 | +$10,338 +100% | — |
| 458d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$376 +27% | 3 |
| 458d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $5,962 | −$5,962 −100% | 8 |
| 458d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $5,410 | −$1,201 −22% | — |
| 458d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $3,338 | +$636 +19% | 3 |
| 458d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $4,650 | +$1,162 +25% | 3 |
| 459d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$1,360 +75% | 4 |
| 459d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellDown46¢ → 0¢ | $1,802 | +$1,802 +100% | — |
| 459d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,971 | −$1,971 −100% | 4 |
| 459d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 3 |
| 459d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,213 | +$3,087 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 15 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 16 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 15 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 16 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
