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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451d | may97 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,871 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | nonkenny90 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,796 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | FlowMo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp56¢ → 100¢ | $5,992 | −$4,694 −78% | — |
| 452d | Besiege4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp64¢ → 100¢ | $12,759 | −$7,241 −57% | — |
| 452d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,262 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 452d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $6,051 | +$3,741 +62% | 4 |
| 452d | nghiapham | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,339 | +$31 +0.7% | 2 |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$80 −7.5% | — | |
| 452d | brr694206 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $8,065 | −$1,297 −16% | — |
| 452d | brr6942012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $24,238 | +$10,842 +45% | 4 |
| 452d | NouvelleVision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$55 +5.3% | 2 |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 3 | |
| 452d | may97 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$39 +3.1% | 2 |
| 452d | celilexi | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | −$134 −8.7% | — |
| 452d | brr6942022 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $32,380 | −$32,380 −100% | 4 |
| 452d | Mraka6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $15,900 | −$9,746 −61% | — |
| 452d | Besiege6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $13,241 | +$6,029 +46% | 4 |
| 452d | brr6942017 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown64¢ → 0¢ | $26,245 | +$26,245 +100% | — |
| 452d | tengri | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$1,152 +85% | 5 |
| 452d | Mraka3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp39¢ → 100¢ | $10,409 | +$16,606 +160% | 9 |
| 452d | jayinaut | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$697 +69% | 5 |
| 452d | Besiege10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown55¢ → 0¢ | $15,696 | +$15,696 +100% | — |
| 452d | Cryptobruj | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown67¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | +$1,340 +100% | — |
| 452d | Besiege9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown61¢ → 0¢ | $14,540 | −$14,540 −100% | 4 |
| 452d | celilexi | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$401 +32% | 4 |
| 452d | affs207914 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $6,459 | +$4,579 +71% | 4 |
| 452d | czrrr | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | −$314 −22% | — |
| 452d | KimbalMusk | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$638 −28% | — |
| 452d | Cryptobruj | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 4 |
| 452d | Bumblebee8902 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $6,282 | −$6,282 −100% | 4 |
| 452d | Brundle | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown68¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | +$1,421 +100% | — |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown68¢ → 0¢ | $3,427 | +$3,427 +100% | — | |
| 452d | precision12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown64¢ → 0¢ | $37,453 | +$37,453 +100% | — |
| 452d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,531 | +$3,531 +100% | — |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown67¢ → 0¢ | $17,681 | −$17,681 −100% | 4 | |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $4,373 | −$4,373 −100% | 4 | |
| 452d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown85¢ → 0¢ | $5,933 | −$5,933 −100% | 3 |
| 452d | precision16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown77¢ → 0¢ | $45,815 | −$45,815 −100% | 4 |
| 452d | NoSir | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp29¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$3,140 +244% | 5 |
| 453d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$1,021 +96% | 4 |
| 453d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,960 | +$1,960 +100% | — |
| 453d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $4,400 | −$4,400 −100% | 3 |
| 453d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $4,641 | +$4,459 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 21 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 22 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 21 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 22 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.