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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | Winnn | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,523 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $18,087 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,792 | −$12 −0.4% | — | |
| 169d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 169d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,389 | +$229 +5.2% | 2 |
| 169d | Coolmanx | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$713 +14% | 3 |
| 169d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyDown20¢ → 0¢ | $1,689 | −$1,689 −100% | 7 |
| 169d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $1,313 | −$1,313 −100% | 5 |
| 169d | Marioy | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 3 |
| 170d | 9da3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 170d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,404 +100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.