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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,504 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 169d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SellYes8¢ | $2 |
| 169d | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | SellYes2¢ | $1 |
| 169d | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1? | SellYes3¢ | $9 |
| 169d | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | BuyYes6¢ | $4 |
| 169d | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3? | SellYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 169d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $2 |
| 169d | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 1? | BuyYes<1¢ | $42 |
| 169d | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3? | BuyYes1¢ | $69 |
| 169d | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1? | BuyYes7¢ | $27 |
| 169d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? | BuyDown<1¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.