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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520d |  MrSiro | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,011 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 520d | W-W | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $7,438 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 520d |  Mortician | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $22,370 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 520d | Poly6-meta3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,613 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 520d |  cy6erpunker | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,591 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 520d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,503 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 520d |  50StackSteve5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $10,359 | +$366 +3.5% | 2 |
| 520d | 50StackSteve | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown96¢ → 100¢ | $3,099 | −$127 −4.1% | — |
| 520d | W-W | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,396 | +$49 +0.7% | 2 |
| 520d | dfgfbv4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $4,380 | −$420 −9.6% | — |
| 520d | spark13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,187 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 520d | Wet-Sign | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 520d | m1ain | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$24 +0.7% | 2 |
| 520d | LuketheNuke | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 520d | dapr | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 520d | 0xfdc072df1e4c7d91334cf622d0520d51aef5e6a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,065 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 520d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 520d |  Anjun | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $16,886 | +$205 +1.2% | 2 |
| 520d |  vrooo0m3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $3,453 | +$558 +16% | 2 |
| 520d | dfgfbv6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $6,504 | +$696 +11% | 3 |
| 520d |  UwO | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,463 | +$112 +3.2% | 2 |
| 520d |  Senatore | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$110 +3.1% | 2 |
| 520d |  plantardisease2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $2,744 | +$523 +19% | 2 |
| 520d | MasterSplinter05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $3,832 | +$523 +14% | 2 |
| 520d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$450 +18% | 2 |
| 520d |  VinnyViral3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $9,895 | +$2,523 +26% | 2 |
| 520d | Brundle | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$239 +22% | 2 |
| 520d | 0x2Fd2C33E0DF6883B797662c721BA39601A86Fd27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $3,672 | −$638 −17% | — |
| 520d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,777 | +$177 +6.4% | 3 |
| 520d | onlyyou-069 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$83 +7.5% | 3 |
| 520d |  lilpomp | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$263 −19% | — |
| 520d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 3 |
| 520d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 3 |
| 520d | 100kGem | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyUp32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | −$1,120 −100% | 4 |
| 520d | justTrying-4602 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown70¢ → 100¢ | $3,985 | −$1,708 −43% | — |
| 520d | justTrying-4602 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $3,685 | +$1,939 +53% | 4 |
| 520d |  HaileyWelch4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $7,271 | +$4,045 +56% | 4 |
| 520d |  1000012 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,122 | +$1,122 +100% | — |
| 520d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellUp55¢ → 0¢ | $1,659 | +$1,659 +100% | — |
| 520d | plantardisease | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 4 |
| 521d |  cutiepie | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 5 |
| 521d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 4 |
| 521d | HaileyWelch | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 May 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 15 May 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 May 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 15 May 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
