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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349d |  ELIENMUSK | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,418 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 349d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $6,574 | +$1,183 +18% | 3 |
| 349d | svinota228 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyDown69¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$527 +45% | 5 |
| 349d | inteldegen2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyUp47¢ → 0¢ | $3,574 | −$3,574 −100% | 5 |
| 349d | kingofcoinflips20 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyDown39¢ → 100¢ | $38,083 | +$58,958 +155% | 11 |
| 349d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | SellUp45¢ → 0¢ | $1,124 | +$1,124 +100% | — |
| 349d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | −$1,151 −100% | 5 |
| 349d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyUp81¢ → 0¢ | $2,835 | −$2,835 −100% | 4 |
| 349d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
