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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367d |  jokke | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,600 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,470 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | gddr | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,070 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | kenekoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | yesmanhaha | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | whygurun | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | wowfree | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | jonbuffit | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 367d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$240 −19% | — |
| 367d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | SellDown89¢ → 100¢ | $5,270 | −$651 −12% | — |
| 367d | easypredict8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $22,233 | +$6,133 +28% | 4 |
| 367d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | SellDown82¢ → 100¢ | $2,792 | −$608 −22% | — |
| 367d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown69¢ → 100¢ | $3,578 | +$1,613 +45% | 5 |
| 367d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$324 +22% | 4 |
| 367d | Noted-Handmaiden2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $2,521 | −$2,521 −100% | 4 |
| 368d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,748 | −$1,748 −100% | 4 |
| 368d | digitscap | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $3,621 | −$3,621 −100% | 4 |
| 368d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 368d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
| 368d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $4,261 | −$4,261 −100% | 3 |
| 369d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 3 |
CosmicBanana13,083 shares
rishyr1,500 shares
Bakiboy1,037 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.