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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380d | hibrucelee | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | muzidf | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 380d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 380d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $9,426 | +$497 +5.3% | 2 |
| 380d |  0xd593334cc02d698d8527977A639F08Ed0834199 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$132 +5.3% | 2 |
| 380d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$261 +8.7% | 3 |
| 380d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$211 +5.3% | 2 |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $6,625 | +$1,249 +19% | 3 |
| 380d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | −$330 −12% | — |
| 380d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$470 +23% | 3 |
| 380d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $6,544 | +$3,066 +47% | 4 |
| 380d |  Miffffy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $4,885 | +$712 +15% | 3 |
| 380d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$700 +16% | 3 |
| 381d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$2,156 +96% | 4 |
| 381d | iamgone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $3,137 | −$3,137 −100% | 4 |
| 382d | Samomalo | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 3 |
Acexavi462,500 shares
samhain4ik1,294 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.