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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $11,261 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 362d |  GuuLG | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,196 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 362d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,261 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 362d |  borabora-836 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,642 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 362d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 362d | trumpus1k | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | +$96 +3.4% | 2 |
| 362d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $6,761 | +$2,874 +43% | 4 |
| 362d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,914 | +$157 +2.3% | 2 |
| 362d | oliver333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,166 | −$95 −3.0% | — |
| 362d |  moomoomoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$53 +3.6% | 2 |
| 362d | PUHJKGJ | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$52 +3.2% | 2 |
| 362d | vicpips | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$41 +2.4% | 2 |
| 362d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$159 +8.7% | 3 |
| 362d | oliver333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $2,765 | +$496 +18% | 3 |
| 362d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$460 +30% | 4 |
| 363d | phoku22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $12,555 | +$11,092 +88% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.