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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360d | JACK123456 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | SellDown>99¢ | $11,738 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,673 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | Unwieldy-Stench | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$23 +2.3% | 2 |
| 360d | kingofcoinflips9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $32,881 | +$3,879 +12% | 3 |
| 360d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $24,605 | +$773 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 360d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $11,286 | +$594 +5.3% | 2 |
| 360d | exceeding8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $13,934 | +$1,462 +10% | 3 |
| 362d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 21 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 22 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 21 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 22 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.