| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $2,535 | +$50 +2.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 640 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $541 | +$29 +5.7% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,801 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $406 | −$168 −29% |
| Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 30¢ | $300 | +$299 +29850% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $185 | +$5 +2.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 35¢ → 89¢ | $177 | +$106 +149% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 410 | 52¢ → 43¢ | $176 | −$37 −17% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 25¢ → 63¢ | $138 | +$82 +148% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 140 | 60¢ → 96¢ | $134 | +$51 +61% |
| Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 444 | <1¢ → 29¢ | $127 | +$126 +28454% |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 131 | 21¢ → 94¢ | $123 | +$96 +349% |
| Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | Yes | 409 | <1¢ → 28¢ | $116 | +$115 +28155% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,000 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $90 | −$150 −63% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 130 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $88 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$14 +18% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 80 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$19 +33% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,000 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $65 | −$25 −28% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 21¢ → 85¢ | $43 | +$33 +304% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 70¢ → 92¢ | $39 | +$9 +30% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $37 | −$24 −39% |
| Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?Ends in 75d | Yes | 209 | 1¢ → 12¢ | $26 | +$24 +1130% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 26 | 53¢ → 98¢ | $26 | +$12 +84% |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $24 | +$7 +39% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $19 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | OpenAI | 300 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $14 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 135 | <1¢ → 9¢ | $12 | +$12 +7273% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +26% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$2 +33% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 18 | 21¢ → 38¢ | $7 | +$3 +81% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 453 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$1 −18% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | Yes | 77 | 34¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$22 −85% |
| Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 717 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$3 +400% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $3 | +$1 +35% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$4 −58% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 42¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$1 −63% |
| Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | Yes | 10 | 28¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$2 −77% |
| Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 4 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +1071% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 261 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 90 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be 250m+ Chips?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum above 2,355 on May 5, 4PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,113 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 160 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,110 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 55 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on June 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 107 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,377 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 810 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 39 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,070 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 192 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin above 79,400 on May 4, 7PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 291 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Ethereum above 2,385 on May 5, 4PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 407 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 65 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 481 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 348 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 44 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 722 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 173 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin above 83,200 on May 12, 12AM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40,995 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$403 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,101 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 195 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 460 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 184 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 251 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
