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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379d |  AsianDegenAgent | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,314 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 379d |  twopac | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | laoyabf | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,102 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d |  HelloWorld20242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $7,990 | +$1,010 +13% | 3 |
| 379d |  kikomarkets | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,890 | −$151 −3.1% | — |
| 379d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | −$72 −4.2% | — |
| 379d |  0xd593334cc02d698d8527977A639F08Ed0834199 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | +$68 +4.2% | 2 |
| 379d | lowrisk244 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $8,390 | +$2,517 +30% | 4 |
| 379d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,225 +41% | 4 |
| 379d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$395 +28% | 4 |
| 379d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $6,878 | +$2,122 +31% | 4 |
| 379d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $1,232 | −$1,232 −100% | 5 |
| 379d | kikomarkets | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | +$1,613 +47% | 4 |
| 379d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $7,370 | −$7,370 −100% | 7 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $2,970 | −$2,970 −100% | 4 |
| 379d | august15th | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | +$1,080 +100% | — |
| 379d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $6,928 | +$4,053 +59% | 4 |
| 380d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | SellUp67¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | −$2,145 −49% | — |
| 380d | allen111 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,473 | −$1,473 −100% | 3 |
Acexavi462,222 shares
bozocm667 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.