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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351d | RichmanETH | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,388 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 351d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp>99¢ | $16,676 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 351d | Palatable-Hall | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 351d | Hidden-Entirety | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 351d | Terry333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 351d |  0x7777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 351d | errorlog | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,465 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 351d | 0xluoty | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$21 +1.1% | 2 |
| 351d | burnhill | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$74 +3.1% | 2 |
| 351d |  bitdictator | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | −$68 −3.1% | — |
| 351d | Sayad | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | −$75 −3.0% | — |
| 351d |  moomoomoo4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $28,166 | +$1,799 +6.4% | 2 |
| 351d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$331 +3.3% | 2 |
| 351d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $10,397 | +$300 +2.9% | 2 |
| 351d | Sayad | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$106 +4.3% | 2 |
| 351d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 2 |
| 351d | justme003 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 2 |
| 351d | Wsix | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 3 |
| 351d |  Anon-0xEF | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $9,292 | −$1,477 −16% | — |
| 352d | exceeding15 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $15,446 | −$15,446 −100% | 4 |
| 352d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $7,550 | −$7,550 −100% | 4 |
| 352d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $6,291 | −$6,291 −100% | 4 |
| 352d | Anon-0xEF | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $9,445 | +$8,389 +89% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 31 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 31 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.