Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d | d1isikea | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d |  borabora-836 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,956 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,094 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d |  Loser-Boy | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 378d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $6,740 | −$1,260 −19% | — |
| 378d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$83 +0.9% | 2 |
| 378d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$221 −18% | — |
| 378d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $7,426 | +$574 +7.7% | 3 |
| 378d | easypredict11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $34,035 | +$9,448 +28% | 3 |
| 378d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $4,021 | +$548 +14% | 3 |
| 378d |  0xd593334cc02d698d8527977A639F08Ed0834199 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | +$561 +15% | 3 |
| 378d | 1955-8888 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$380 +23% | 4 |
| 378d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyUp29¢ → 0¢ | $1,264 | −$1,264 −100% | 5 |
| 378d |  VinnyViral | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown63¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$1,110 +59% | 4 |
| 378d | easypredict5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $12,490 | −$12,490 −100% | 4 |
| 378d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SellDown56¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | −$1,336 −79% | — |
| 378d | mit1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyUp23¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 4 |
| 378d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | +$464 +12% | 3 |
| 378d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$1,224 +26% | 3 |
| 379d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SellDown54¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$992 −85% | — |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyUp60¢ → 0¢ | $2,970 | −$2,970 −100% | 4 |
| 379d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown48¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$1,294 +108% | 3 |
rishyr1,400 shares
Youngmantryinghisbest1,176 shares
Acexavi461,000 shares
handsup131862 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 3 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 4 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 3 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 4 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.