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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376d |  DDDASHEE3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,085 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | exceeding10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $44,426 | −$2,334 −5.3% | — |
| 377d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 377d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $17,764 | +$216 +1.2% | 2 |
| 377d | loveIsReal | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$24 +1.2% | 2 |
| 377d | sandue | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$35 +3.2% | 2 |
| 377d | exceeding7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $23,741 | +$1,383 +5.8% | 2 |
| 377d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $9,405 | +$495 +5.3% | 2 |
| 377d | aronk | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellDown13¢ → 0¢ | $3,657 | +$3,657 +100% | — |
| 377d | Back-Restaurant | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$20 +1.1% | 2 |
| 377d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 377d | yuandufushu2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $12,500 | +$336 +2.7% | 2 |
| 377d | Pricey-Spleen | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | −$45 −3.1% | — |
| 377d | fiveaddone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $6,351 | −$476 −7.5% | — |
| 377d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $13,161 | +$6,618 +50% | 4 |
| 377d | fiveaddone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,827 +37% | 4 |
| 377d | badZho | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$517 +45% | 4 |
| 377d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 4 |
| 377d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,001 +100% | 4 |
| 378d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,234 | −$1,234 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.