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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacqui Irwin | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Daniel Miller | 0% | 0 pts | −21 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Hernandez | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Gallucci | 100% | +23 pts | +27 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sonia Kacker | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Espinosa | 0% | −48 pts | −19 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Koslow | 0% | −50 pts | −23 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sasan Samadzadeh | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Scott | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135d | Liam Hernandez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 142d | Tame-Rank | Daniel Miller | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$62 +5.2% | 10 |
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 26th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jacqui Irwin means the market gives it about 100%.