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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +85 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | lIllIlllIlIl | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,950 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d |  AgricultureSecretary | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$2,075 +143% | 5 |
| 187d |  flexo | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$360 +34% | 4 |
| 217d | JessicaRichardson7349 | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,716 | −$1,716 −100% | 4 |
Lavincey263 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.