Lavincey

Polymarket wallet 0x1cdd071bb612de6d66d0c882b676c663697de595 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Firsthand-Eaglet

Open on Polymarket ↗@Lavincey_ ↗

Positions now worth: $5.29K
All-time profit: +$62.1K
Volume traded: $36.1M
All-time rank: #2,944
Markets traded: 99,465
Recent hit rate: 48%24 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $3.4K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?Ends in 256d	Yes	500	0¢ → 32¢	$158	+$158 +0.0%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	Yes	420	24¢ → 26¢	$107	+$5 +5.3%
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	125	77¢ → 80¢	$99	+$3 +2.8%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	97	28¢ → 91¢	$88	+$61 +225%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 7h	No	85	53¢ → >99¢	$85	+$40 +87%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	No	98	59¢ → 85¢	$83	+$25 +42%
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?Ends in 21d	Yes	640	16¢ → 13¢	$80	−$22 −21%
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	81	80¢ → 97¢	$79	+$14 +21%
Celonis IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	80	78¢ → 92¢	$74	+$11 +18%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	80	75¢ → 87¢	$69	+$9 +15%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	246	33¢ → 28¢	$68	−$14 −17%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d	Yes	160	29¢ → 41¢	$65	+$18 +39%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	62	87¢ → 96¢	$59	+$5 +10%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	60	95¢ → 99¢	$59	+$2 +3.4%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	60	94¢ → 97¢	$58	+$1 +2.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	60	95¢ → 96¢	$57	+$0 +0.7%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Ends in 256d	Yes	108	0¢ → 50¢	$53	+$53 +0.0%
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 74d	Yes	150	33¢ → 35¢	$52	+$2 +4.5%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	60	32¢ → 84¢	$50	+$31 +165%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d	No	49	99¢ → 99¢	$49	+$0 +0.5%
Rippling IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	500	15¢ → 10¢	$48	−$25 −34%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d	No	46	90¢ → 98¢	$45	+$3 +8.3%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	420	24¢ → 11¢	$44	−$56 −56%
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d	No	65	47¢ → 68¢	$44	+$13 +44%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	60	58¢ → 70¢	$42	+$7 +20%
Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?Ends in 7h	No	60	51¢ → 68¢	$41	+$10 +34%
Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d	No	80	56¢ → 50¢	$40	−$5 −12%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended	No	56	56¢ → 68¢	$38	+$7 +21%
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Ends ended	No	38	26¢ → 98¢	$38	+$28 +283%
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d	No	35	97¢ → >99¢	$35	+$1 +2.5%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d	Yes	275	14¢ → 13¢	$34	−$4 −10%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 84d	No	63	62¢ → 54¢	$34	−$5 −14%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	40	50¢ → 80¢	$32	+$12 +60%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	465	34¢ → 7¢	$32	−$126 −80%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	43	51¢ → 75¢	$32	+$10 +45%
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	36	31¢ → 88¢	$32	+$20 +182%
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	32	90¢ → 98¢	$31	+$3 +8.9%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d	No	30	98¢ → 98¢	$30	+$0 +0.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	96¢ → 98¢	$29	+$1 +2.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	87¢ → 98¢	$29	+$3 +12%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d	No	42	59¢ → 71¢	$29	+$5 +19%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d	No	36	78¢ → 78¢	$28	+$0 +0.4%
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	29	89¢ → 96¢	$28	+$2 +7.7%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	278	36¢ → 10¢	$28	−$73 −72%
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Ends in 256d	No	30	5¢ → 92¢	$27	+$26 +1730%
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	110	28¢ → 25¢	$27	−$4 −13%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	77	35¢ → 35¢	$27	−$0 −1.6%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	35	36¢ → 76¢	$27	+$14 +112%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d	No	30	93¢ → 89¢	$27	−$1 −4.8%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d	No	27	97¢ → >99¢	$27	+$1 +2.5%
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	41	46¢ → 64¢	$27	+$8 +40%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended	Yes	148	18¢ → 18¢	$26	−$1 −3.5%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d	No	28	91¢ → 93¢	$26	+$1 +2.8%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	83	33¢ → 31¢	$25	−$2 −8.1%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	29	86¢ → 89¢	$25	+$1 +2.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	99	38¢ → 26¢	$25	−$13 −34%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	40	72¢ → 63¢	$25	−$4 −13%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	38	42¢ → 63¢	$24	+$8 +50%
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	91	56¢ → 26¢	$23	−$28 −54%
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends ended	No	25	20¢ → 93¢	$23	+$18 +358%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	63	16¢ → 37¢	$23	+$13 +129%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	26	84¢ → 87¢	$23	+$1 +3.6%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	76	50¢ → 30¢	$23	−$15 −41%
Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Ends in 232d	No	30	58¢ → 72¢	$22	+$4 +24%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	110	35¢ → 20¢	$21	−$17 −44%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	201	31¢ → 11¢	$21	−$42 −66%
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 165d	Yes	60	18¢ → 35¢	$21	+$10 +92%
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	20	91¢ → 99¢	$20	+$2 +8.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	67¢ → 66¢	$20	−$0 −2.2%
Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	56	10¢ → 35¢	$20	+$14 +250%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d	Yes	65	11¢ → 28¢	$19	+$11 +156%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	210	39¢ → 9¢	$18	−$64 −78%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Ends in 75d	Yes	125	24¢ → 14¢	$17	−$13 −44%
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	17	88¢ → 95¢	$17	+$1 +7.6%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	38	66¢ → 43¢	$16	−$9 −35%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	39	39¢ → 42¢	$16	+$1 +6.4%
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	66	12¢ → 25¢	$16	+$8 +107%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	50¢ → 54¢	$16	+$1 +7.0%
Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d	No	20	71¢ → 80¢	$16	+$2 +12%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d	Yes	80	20¢ → 20¢	$16	−$0 −2.8%
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d	No	20	15¢ → 76¢	$15	+$12 +407%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	112	50¢ → 14¢	$15	−$41 −73%
Will Jay Lundgren win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?Ends in 7h	No	20	70¢ → 76¢	$15	+$1 +7.9%
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Ends in 287d	No	20	65¢ → 75¢	$15	+$2 +16%
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d	Yes	120	28¢ → 13¢	$15	−$19 −56%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	802	19¢ → 2¢	$15	−$138 −90%
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Ends in 195d	No	15	87¢ → 99¢	$15	+$2 +13%
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	No	26	66¢ → 56¢	$14	−$3 −16%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Ends in 9d	No	20	66¢ → 72¢	$14	+$1 +9.1%
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	17	30¢ → 87¢	$14	+$9 +188%
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	15	25¢ → 94¢	$14	+$10 +276%
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	40	27¢ → 35¢	$14	+$3 +30%
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 74d	Yes	150	13¢ → 9¢	$14	−$6 −32%
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	357	7¢ → 4¢	$14	−$12 −47%
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	96	28¢ → 14¢	$13	−$13 −50%
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	215	24¢ → 6¢	$13	−$38 −74%
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	240	23¢ → 6¢	$13	−$41 −76%
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	379	12¢ → 3¢	$13	−$33 −72%
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	63	22¢ → 20¢	$13	−$1 −7.0%
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	278	18¢ → 5¢	$13	−$39 −76%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
29d	Valorant: FULL SENSE SISU vs Gen.G GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs AND Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs	Buy67¢	$0
29d	Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Vikings vs. Bears	Buy59¢	$3
29d	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-18?	Buy44¢	$1
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	Buy55¢	$6
29d	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Buy67¢	$2
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	Buy55¢	$1
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Buy59¢	$2
29d	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Buy63¢	$0
29d	Panthers vs. Falcons AND Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Dolphins vs. 49ers AND Eagles vs. Titans	Buy68¢	$0
29d	FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5 AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	Buy46¢	$6
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Buy54¢	$7
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs	Buy48¢	$12
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs	Buy48¢	$15
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Buy54¢	$0
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Buy54¢	$19
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Buy57¢	$28
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UPGRADE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Buy66¢	$5
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	Buy59¢	$21
29d	Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	Buy56¢	$37
29d	Will Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-09-18?	Buy88¢	$50
29d	Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy30¢	$30
29d	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Buy41¢	$22
29d	Lions vs. Bills AND Houston vs. Texas Tech	Buy47¢	$11
29d	USC vs. Rutgers AND Will GV CD San José win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-17?	Buy16¢	$0
29d	Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Arsenal WFC (-1.5)	Buy69¢	$50
29d	Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy34¢	$2
29d	FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5 AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	Buy46¢	$1
29d	AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score AND RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	Buy62¢	$40
29d	Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm AND Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings AND Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream	Buy41¢	$0
29d	Will Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will FCV Dender EH win on 2026-09-20?	Buy68¢	$50
29d	Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-17? AND Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win on 2026-09-18? AND Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-09-17? AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? AND Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-17?	Buy38¢	$0
29d	Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy51¢	$5
29d	Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy51¢	$6
29d	Saints vs. Ravens AND Packers vs. Jets AND Steelers vs. Patriots	Buy65¢	$0
29d	CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5 AND Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-17?	Buy53¢	$0
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Buy48¢	$1
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin	Buy51¢	$1
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin	Buy50¢	$0
29d	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy52¢	$0
29d	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy52¢	$0
29d	New Mexico vs. Oklahoma AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy50¢	$0
29d	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy52¢	$1
29d	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy52¢	$0
29d	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)	Buy52¢	$0
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin	Buy51¢	$1
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin	Buy51¢	$0
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin	Buy51¢	$0
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Buy48¢	$0
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy49¢	$7
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy49¢	$5
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Buy48¢	$12
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy49¢	$12
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy49¢	$6
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Buy48¢	$11
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy50¢	$37
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy50¢	$12
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy50¢	$30
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy50¢	$12
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy50¢	$3
29d	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Buy50¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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