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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ThreadGuy | 42% | +1 pts | +6 pts | 34¢ · 50¢ (16¢) | — | in 76d |
| Guy Young | 43% | +2 pts | +10 pts | 4¢ · 82¢ (78¢) | — | in 76d |
| Ansem | 32% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 60¢ (57¢) | — | in 76d |
| Brian Armstrong | 7% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 13¢ (12¢) | — | in 76d |
| Arthur Hayes | 13% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 24¢ (23¢) | — | in 76d |
| SBF | 26% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 76d |
| Jeff Yan | 41% | +33 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 77¢ (73¢) | — | in 76d |
| Jesse Pollak | 7% | −32 pts | −32 pts | 1¢ · 13¢ (12¢) | — | in 76d |
| CZ | 26% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 76d |
| Vitalik Buterin | 6% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 11¢ (9¢) | — | in 76d |
| GCR | 43% | −5 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 84¢ (83¢) | — | in 76d |
| Thomas Lee | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Javier Milei | 46% | — | −23 pts | 2¢ · 89¢ (87¢) | — | in 76d |
| Michael Saylor | 50% | 0 pts | +9 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 76d |
| Su Zhu | 42% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 82¢ (81¢) | — | in 76d |
| thiccy | 13% | — | −3 pts | 2¢ · 23¢ (21¢) | — | in 76d |
| Martin Shkreli | 43% | −5 pts | — | 2¢ · 84¢ (82¢) | — | in 76d |
| Gainzy | 11% | — | — | 1¢ · 20¢ (19¢) | — | in 76d |
| Anatoly Yakovenko | 51% | 0 pts | +9 pts | 2¢ · 99¢ (97¢) | — | in 76d |
| light | 45% | +2 pts | +5 pts | 1¢ · 90¢ (88¢) | — | in 76d |
| Andrew Kang | 45% | −1 pts | +4 pts | 1¢ · 89¢ (89¢) | — | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
LornaPredicts221 shares
sipp-111 shares
2B9S32 shares
alanhutton517 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 42¢ for ThreadGuy means the market gives it about 42%.