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Polymarket wallet 0xf7aea6ef9d9d5a099db37dbf22cb3b93435a1cce · on Polymarket since Jan 3, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 70¢ → 42¢ | $2 | −$1 −40% |
| Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$2 −84% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SellYes37¢ | $2 |
| 89d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes60¢ | $122 |
| 89d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes60¢ | $102 |
| 127d | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BuyYes60¢ | $22 |
| 127d | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BuyYes62¢ | $20 |
| 127d | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BuyYes57¢ | $41 |
| 127d | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BuyYes49¢ | $25 |
| 127d | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BuyYes81¢ | $121 |
| 127d | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BuyYes54¢ | $30 |
| 127d | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BuyYes54¢ | $81 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $39 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes61¢ | $41 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes60¢ | $51 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes61¢ | $36 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $51 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $21 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SellNo62¢ | $78 |
| 153d | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SellYes38¢ | $160 |
| 153d | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $114 |
| 153d | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes50¢ | $226 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BuyDown61¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BuyDown61¢ | $4 |
| 155d | Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET | SellDown59¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp98¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp98¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BuyUp94¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BuyUp94¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BuyUp91¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BuyUp81¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BuyUp71¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BuyUp74¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BuyUp75¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BuyDown97¢ | $4 |
| 155d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SellYes93¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BuyDown98¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $1 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp88¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp64¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp57¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SellDown50¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SellDown51¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown77¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown77¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown77¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SellUp20¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp13¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown96¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.