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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley So | 100% | +93 pts | +95 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −53 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | −6 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| R Praggnanandhaa | 0% | −34 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Samuel Sevian | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415d | Waterfall412 | Wesley So | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,326 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 416d | Indolent-Roar | Fabiano Caruana | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $5,200 | −$5,200 −100% | 6 |
| 416d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | R Praggnanandhaa | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,050 +54% | 6 |
| 416d | iamgone2 fills | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | iamgone4 fills | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,833 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 416d | iamgone | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,162 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | iamgone | Samuel Sevian | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,174 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | iamgone | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,737 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 417d | iamgone | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,454 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 417d | Waterfall412 | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$1,681 +100% | 6 |
| 417d | Arid-Hurdle | Fabiano Caruana | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | −$1,031 −100% | 6 |
| 420d | TradeDeficitArchitect2 fills | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,248 | +$1,119 +18% | 4 |
| 423d | JoFilo | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$117 +6.4% | 4 |
| 429d |  Smeargle | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on predicting the winner of the 2025 Sinquefield Cup chess tournament.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wesley So means the market gives it about 100%.