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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57-60% | 100% | +4 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <48% | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 48-51% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 51-54% | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54-57% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60%+ | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 57-60% means the market gives it about 100%.