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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 4% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 75d |
| Uruguay | 4% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 75d |
| Spain | 8% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 15¢ (13¢) | — | in 75d |
| Morocco | 4% | — | −10 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 75d |
| Portugal | 25% | — | +12 pts | <1¢ · 50¢ (50¢) | — | in 75d |
| Argentina | 13% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 25¢ (25¢) | — | in 75d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if FIFA announces the removal of the listed country as a host nation of the 2030 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately result in a “Yes” resolution for this market. Later retractions or alterations to a qualifying announcement will not affect the resolution of this market. If a qualifying announcement is not made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Paraguay means the market gives it about 4%.