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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,877 | +$348 +5.1% | 4 |
| 655d | MBAguy | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 655d |  Car | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 657d | semi | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 672d |  TheFund | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 4 |
| 685d | TarDigrade | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$180 +16% | 4 |
| 692d | RiyalFlush | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$915 +18% | 4 |
YES1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Crimean Bridge (Kerch Bridge) is the subject of a kinetic strike between November 17 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the bridge will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.