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Polymarket wallet 0x51801d1dfc78e7dbedd110ffaf225492c68ebfc4 · on Polymarket since Nov 19, 2024 · also shown as Polished-Inlaws
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 35¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$9 +187% |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Crimean bridge hit before 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 691d | Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BuyYes35¢ | $5 |
| 693d | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes60¢ | $4 |
| 693d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BuyNo12¢ | $1 |
| 696d | Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ | $5 |
| 696d | Crimean bridge hit before 2025? | BuyNo82¢ | $4 |
| 696d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 696d | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes67¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.