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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 819d | wazzap-620 | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | −$189 −10% | — |
| 819d | Skankfest | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 819d | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$144 −14% | — | |
| 820d | cmnd | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$281 −26% | — |
| 820d | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$140 +13% | 20 | |
| 820d | OPTIONSKING | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$338 +32% | 20 |
| 820d | CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night? | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $13,586 | −$13,586 −100% | 25 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the IT outages linked to CrowdStrike, are resolved by 11:59 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution will be based on official statements from CrowdStrike or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that the affected services are mostly operational, with only minor issues remaining.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.