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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$170m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$110m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $110-130m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| $130-150m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $150-170m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809d | route | <$110m | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,186 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 809d |  fhantombets | <$110m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,190 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 809d | 0xc-268 | <$110m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 809d |  justdance2 fills | <$110m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,255 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 810d |  LlamaEnjoyer | >$170m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 810d | professorx | >$170m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 811d | parkerpete | >$170m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,976 | −$33 −0.8% | — |
| 811d | PM777 | >$170m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 812d |  enderone | >$170m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,466 | −$28 −0.8% | — |
| 812d |  Anjun3 fills | >$170m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,676 | +$106 +1.0% | 4 |
| 812d |  aenews210 fills | >$170m | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $48,165 | +$2,855 +5.9% | 4 |
| 813d | infinitiphantom | >$170m | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,050 | −$120 −5.8% | — |
| 813d | jinsun... | >$170m | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$301 +7.5% | 5 |
| 813d | professorx | $130-150m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$29 +2.4% | 4 |
| 814d | aenews2 | $130-150m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$40 +3.2% | 5 |
| 815d |  ANudeEgg | >$170m | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$201 +18% | 5 |
| 815d | fhantombets | $110-130m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 817d |  crystalfalls | $110-130m | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$55 −4.7% | — |
| 818d | DumbMoney1 | $110-130m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 4 |
| 833d |  New.Jeans | >$170m | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$336 +32% | 4 |
| 855d | crystalfalls | $110-130m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$65 +5.3% | 4 |
| 858d | New.Jeans | >$170m | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 859d | New.Jeans | $150-170m | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$926 +52% | 4 |
| 864d |  ImJustKen | <$110m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$41 +3.0% | 4 |
| 864d | New.Jeans2 fills | >$170m | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $3,864 | −$3,864 −100% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$170m means the market gives it about 100%.