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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 47% | −7 pts | −18 pts | 30¢ · 65¢ (35¢) | — | in 441d |
| $100M | 32% | −3 pts | −3 pts | 26¢ · 37¢ (11¢) | — | in 441d |
| $300M | 14% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 11¢ · 16¢ (5¢) | — | in 441d |
| $200M | 19% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 16¢ · 22¢ (6¢) | — | in 441d |
| $800M | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 441d |
| $500M | 10% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 8¢ · 12¢ (4¢) | — | in 441d |
| $50M | 40% | −9 pts | −9 pts | 30¢ · 49¢ (19¢) | $100 | in 441d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 47¢ for $20M means the market gives it about 47%.