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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807d |  50Whence8 fills | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $46,214 | +$4,605 +10.0% | 11 |
| 808d |  mcduck | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,180 | +$42 +1.0% | 10 |
| 812d | 50Whence | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | −$76 −2.8% | — |
| 812d | 22002200 | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$35 −2.5% | — |
| 813d | polyaffective | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$29 −2.7% | — |
| 813d | junejuly | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$90 −7.9% | — |
| 813d | sabato114 fills | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $13,887 | +$1,070 +7.7% | 10 |
| 814d | sabato11 | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$233 −19% | — |
| 814d |  WordleAddict | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,487 | −$1,487 −100% | 11 |
| 815d |  Squee | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | +$1,300 +100% | — |
| 815d | 50Whence | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $4,220 | −$4,220 −100% | 13 |
| 815d |  MALDEMER | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | −$542 −45% | — |
| 815d | Squee | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 13 |
| 815d | copy4259 | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,049 | +$951 +23% | 10 |
| 816d | lkjasf | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$502 +33% | 10 |
| 816d |  oer696969 | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | +$1,332 +100% | — |
| 817d | angese | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$861 +67% | 10 |
| 817d |  Shayku | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,461 | +$1,461 +100% | — |
| 817d | Shayku | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,397 | −$1,397 −100% | 10 |
| 818d | K1ngN0rth | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | — |
| 818d | OPMSucks | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$588 −54% | — |
| 818d | oer696969 | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$709 −59% | — |
| 824d | Oxae5c67CeB16B4851F169EC1C65F405D7e6308b90 | Democratic Blitz primary? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$249 −20% | — |
| 827d | Oxae5c67CeB16B4851F169EC1C65F405D7e6308b90 | Democratic Blitz primary? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$410 +26% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democrats announce they will hold a blitz primary for the 2024 US Presidential Election, by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A blitz primary is defined as Joe Biden withdrawing from the race, and multiple candidates are given the chance to become the Democratic nominee for President of the United States in an open field. If it is widely reported that a mini/blitz primary will officially occur, this market will resolve to "Yes". It is only necessary that the primary be officially announced by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the primary occurs after. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic Party, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.