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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70-75m | 100% | +26 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <65m | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-70m | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75-80m | 0% | −2 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-85m | 0% | −1 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >85m | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396d | 65-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,117 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 396d | 65-70m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,852 | +$95 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 396d | 65-70m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$25 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 396d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | <65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,626 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 397d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | 80-85m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,609 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 397d | <65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,862 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 397d | 0x955c…990f | <65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,682 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 398d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 70-75m | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$500 −33% | — |
| 398d | 75-80m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,888 | +$126 +3.2% | 5 | |
| 398d | Lllddddd | 80-85m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$28 +0.9% | 4 |
| 398d | lettuce | 65-70m | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 6 |
| 398d | >85m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,928 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 398d | 65-70m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | +$269 +16% | 8 | |
| 398d | pantomime | <65m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 398d | oceanman272 fills | 65-70m | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$796 +31% | 8 |
| 398d | locuspm | >85m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 399d | <65m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$26 −1.9% | — | |
| 399d | aviato | 80-85m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$96 +4.8% | 5 |
| 399d | <65m | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,724 | −$777 −29% | — | |
| 400d | <65m | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$912 +37% | 6 | |
| 401d | locuspm | <65m | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,599 | −$1,599 −100% | 7 |
| 401d | <65m | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,972 | +$1,284 +43% | 6 | |
| 401d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 65-70m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$346 +21% | 5 |
| 402d | >85m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$64 +5.2% | 4 | |
| 402d | incline | <65m | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | −$452 −33% | — |
| 403d | >85m | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$138 +6.9% | 4 | |
| 403d | incline | <65m | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$226 +14% | 5 |
This market will resolve according to how much “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 12 - September 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 70-75m means the market gives it about 100%.