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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-99 | 100% | +41 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | −12 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | −49 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | −19 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | −8 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200+ | 0% | −1 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | Etak2 fills | 100-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,192 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 25d |  y111m11 | 100-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 25d | y111m11 | 80-99 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$102 +5.4% | 22 |
yangzige30 shares
meagainsttheworld19 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80-99 means the market gives it about 100%.